Premier League · Matchweek 23
Hull City
HUL
Crystal Palace
CRY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hull43%
Draw28%
Crystal Palace29%
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.17
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 1–011.0%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–18.7%
- 0–08.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Crystal Palace get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
35%Possession39%
29%Territory27%
38%From set plays61%
0.08Chance quality0.11
7.3%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hull, 3 for Crystal Palace. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Crystal Palace
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.