Premier League · Matchweek 23
Coventry City
COV
Leeds United
LEE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Coventry29%
Draw30%
Leeds41%
Expected goals
1.03 – 1.28
Over 2.5
40%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.2%
- 0–113.0%
- 0–011.3%
- 1–010.2%
- 1–28.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Leeds will have the ball; Coventry will not mind.
37%Possession56%
39%Territory34%
29%From set plays42%
0.08Chance quality0.09
8.9%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Coventry, 3 for Leeds. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.