Premier League · Matchweek 22
Sunderland
SUN
Coventry City
COV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sunderland41%
Draw29%
Coventry30%
Expected goals
1.31 – 1.09
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 1–012.2%
- 0–010.4%
- 0–19.9%
- 2–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Sunderland will have the ball; Coventry will not mind.
47%Possession37%
34%Territory39%
51%From set plays29%
0.06Chance quality0.08
5.1%Directness8.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sunderland, 4 for Coventry. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sunderland
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.