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Premier League · Matchweek 22

Ipswich Town

IPS

Hull City

HUL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Ipswich41%
Draw27%
Hull32%

Expected goals

1.50 – 1.30

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.0%
  • 1–09.6%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 0–18.1%
  • 1–27.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Ipswich will have the ball; Hull will not mind.

47%Possession35%
35%Territory29%
21%From set plays38%
0.12Chance quality0.08
4.8%Directness7.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Ipswich, 3 for Hull. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.