Premier League · Matchweek 22
Everton
EVE
Brentford
BRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Everton29%
Draw29%
Brentford42%
Expected goals
1.11 – 1.37
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 0–111.9%
- 0–09.6%
- 1–09.4%
- 1–28.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
45%Possession47%
43%Territory35%
35%From set plays27%
0.07Chance quality0.09
5.9%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Everton, 3 for Brentford. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Everton
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.