Premier League · Matchweek 21
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
Leeds United
LEE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Tottenham44%
Draw31%
Leeds25%
Expected goals
1.26 – 0.90
Over 2.5
37%
Both to score
44%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.8%
- 1–113.1%
- 0–012.8%
- 0–110.1%
- 2–08.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Tottenham will have the ball; Leeds will not mind.
71%Possession56%
52%Territory34%
29%From set plays42%
0.07Chance quality0.09
2.6%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Tottenham, 3 for Leeds. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.