Premier League · Matchweek 21
Liverpool
LIV
Crystal Palace
CRY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Liverpool61%
Draw22%
Crystal Palace17%
Expected goals
1.94 – 0.95
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.4%
- 2–010.4%
- 1–110.2%
- 2–110.0%
- 3–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Liverpool will have the ball; Crystal Palace will not mind.
51%Possession39%
48%Territory27%
16%From set plays61%
0.08Chance quality0.11
4.4%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Liverpool, 3 for Crystal Palace. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Crystal Palace
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.