Premier League · Matchweek 21
Hull City
HUL
Arsenal
ARS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hull15%
Draw26%
Arsenal59%
Expected goals
0.70 – 1.58
Over 2.5
40%
Both to score
41%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 0–116.6%
- 0–212.4%
- 1–111.2%
- 0–011.1%
- 1–29.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Arsenal will have the ball; Hull will not mind.
35%Possession59%
29%Territory48%
38%From set plays36%
0.08Chance quality0.11
7.3%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hull, 3 for Arsenal. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.