Premier League · Matchweek 21
Coventry City
COV
Everton
EVE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Coventry38%
Draw30%
Everton32%
Expected goals
1.21 – 1.10
Over 2.5
40%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.3%
- 1–012.2%
- 0–011.3%
- 0–111.0%
- 2–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
37%Possession45%
39%Territory43%
29%From set plays35%
0.08Chance quality0.07
8.9%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Coventry, 2 for Everton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Everton
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.