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Premier League · Matchweek 21

Coventry City

COV

Everton

EVE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Coventry38%
Draw30%
Everton32%

Expected goals

1.21 – 1.10

Over 2.5

40%

Both to score

48%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.3%
  • 1–012.2%
  • 0–011.3%
  • 0–111.0%
  • 2–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

37%Possession45%
39%Territory43%
29%From set plays35%
0.08Chance quality0.07
8.9%Directness5.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Coventry, 2 for Everton. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.