Premier League · Matchweek 20
Sunderland
SUN
Liverpool
LIV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sunderland24%
Draw28%
Liverpool48%
Expected goals
1.01 – 1.50
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–112.7%
- 1–112.4%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–09.2%
- 0–28.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Sunderland get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
47%Possession51%
34%Territory48%
51%From set plays16%
0.06Chance quality0.08
5.1%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sunderland, 3 for Liverpool. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sunderland
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.