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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

Premier League · Matchweek 20

Sunderland

SUN

Liverpool

LIV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sunderland33%
Draw28%
Liverpool39%

Expected goals

1.22 – 1.35

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.7%
  • 0–110.7%
  • 1–09.5%
  • 0–08.8%
  • 1–28.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Liverpool will have the ball; Sunderland will not mind.

45%Possession60%
40%Territory50%
37%From set plays16%
0.15Chance quality0.10
8.1%Directness5.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sunderland, 3 for Liverpool. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.