Premier League · Matchweek 20
Nottingham Forest
NFO
Hull City
HUL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Nottm Forest51%
Draw28%
Hull21%
Expected goals
1.48 – 0.87
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.6%
- 1–112.3%
- 0–010.7%
- 2–010.0%
- 2–19.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nottm Forest will have the ball; Hull will not mind.
45%Possession35%
34%Territory29%
30%From set plays38%
0.09Chance quality0.08
7.8%Directness7.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Nottm Forest, 3 for Hull. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.