Premier League · Matchweek 20
Nottingham Forest
NFO
Hull City
HUL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Nottm Forest50%
Draw26%
Hull23%
Expected goals
1.59 – 1.02
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.2%
- 1–112.0%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–08.9%
- 0–08.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nottm Forest will have the ball; Hull will not mind.
39%Possession30%
36%Territory33%
19%From set plays10%
0.12Chance quality0.09
7.8%Directness8.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Nottm Forest, 3 for Hull. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.