Premier League · Matchweek 20
Leeds United
LEE
Manchester City
MCI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Leeds26%
Draw26%
Man City48%
Expected goals
1.14 – 1.60
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 0–110.9%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–28.0%
- 0–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Man City will have the ball; Leeds will not mind.
56%Possession65%
34%Territory49%
42%From set plays20%
0.09Chance quality0.12
6.2%Directness3.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Leeds, 3 for Man City. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.