Premier League · Matchweek 20
Ipswich Town
IPS
Coventry City
COV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Ipswich50%
Draw25%
Coventry26%
Expected goals
1.79 – 1.26
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.9%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–09.0%
- 2–07.4%
- 1–26.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Coventry get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
46%Possession40%
38%Territory37%
8%From set plays34%
0.14Chance quality0.11
4.1%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Ipswich, 3 for Coventry. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Coventry
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.