Premier League · Matchweek 20
Ipswich Town
IPS
Coventry City
COV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Ipswich44%
Draw26%
Coventry30%
Expected goals
1.58 – 1.27
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–09.6%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–17.5%
- 1–27.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Ipswich will have the ball; Coventry will not mind.
47%Possession37%
35%Territory39%
21%From set plays29%
0.12Chance quality0.08
4.8%Directness8.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Ipswich, 4 for Coventry. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.