Premier League · Matchweek 20
Everton
EVE
Aston Villa
AVL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Everton34%
Draw29%
Aston Villa36%
Expected goals
1.22 – 1.27
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 0–110.8%
- 1–010.3%
- 0–09.6%
- 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
45%Possession44%
43%Territory32%
35%From set plays22%
0.07Chance quality0.10
5.9%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Everton, 3 for Aston Villa. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Everton
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.