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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

Premier League · Matchweek 20

Crystal Palace

CRY

Chelsea

CHE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Crystal Palace34%
Draw24%
Chelsea42%

Expected goals

1.57 – 1.76

Over 2.5

63%

Both to score

66%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.2%
  • 1–28.6%
  • 2–17.6%
  • 2–26.9%
  • 0–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Chelsea will have the ball; Crystal Palace will not mind.

37%Possession47%
30%Territory46%
11%From set plays24%
0.11Chance quality0.09
5.4%Directness5.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Crystal Palace, 3 for Chelsea. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.