Premier League · Matchweek 20
Crystal Palace
CRY
Chelsea
CHE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Crystal Palace23%
Draw24%
Chelsea54%
Expected goals
1.18 – 1.88
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.5%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–19.4%
- 0–28.2%
- 1–36.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Chelsea will have the ball; Crystal Palace will not mind.
39%Possession47%
27%Territory35%
61%From set plays16%
0.11Chance quality0.10
4.8%Directness3.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Crystal Palace, 3 for Chelsea. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Crystal Palace
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.