Premier League · Matchweek 19
Sunderland
SUN
Hull City
HUL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sunderland38%
Draw30%
Hull32%
Expected goals
1.24 – 1.11
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.2%
- 1–012.0%
- 0–010.8%
- 0–110.6%
- 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Sunderland will have the ball; Hull will not mind.
47%Possession35%
34%Territory29%
51%From set plays38%
0.06Chance quality0.08
5.1%Directness7.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sunderland, 3 for Hull. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.