Premier League · Matchweek 19
Sunderland
SUN
Hull City
HUL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sunderland45%
Draw28%
Hull26%
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.03
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–012.7%
- 0–09.8%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–18.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Sunderland will have the ball; Hull will not mind.
45%Possession30%
40%Territory33%
37%From set plays10%
0.15Chance quality0.09
8.1%Directness8.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sunderland, 3 for Hull. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sunderland
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.