Premier League · Matchweek 19
Manchester City
MCI
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Man City65%
Draw22%
Tottenham13%
Expected goals
1.89 – 0.74
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.1%
- 2–012.7%
- 1–110.0%
- 2–19.6%
- 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Tottenham get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
65%Possession60%
44%Territory48%
24%From set plays40%
0.15Chance quality0.07
3.9%Directness3.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Man City, 3 for Tottenham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Tottenham
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.