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Premier League · Matchweek 19

Liverpool

LIV

Coventry City

COV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Liverpool64%
Draw21%
Coventry15%

Expected goals

2.07 – 0.93

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1010.8%
  • 2010.6%
  • 2110.0%
  • 119.5%
  • 307.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Liverpool will have the ball; Coventry will not mind.

60%Possession40%
50%Territory37%
16%From set plays34%
0.10Chance quality0.11
5.4%Directness7.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Liverpool, 3 for Coventry. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Coventry

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.