Premier League · Matchweek 19
Liverpool
LIV
Coventry City
COV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Liverpool61%
Draw23%
Coventry16%
Expected goals
1.82 – 0.85
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.1%
- 2–011.3%
- 1–110.6%
- 2–19.8%
- 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Liverpool will have the ball; Coventry will not mind.
51%Possession37%
48%Territory39%
16%From set plays29%
0.08Chance quality0.08
4.4%Directness8.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Liverpool, 4 for Coventry. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.