Premier League · Matchweek 19
Leeds United
LEE
Everton
EVE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Leeds49%
Draw29%
Everton22%
Expected goals
1.39 – 0.86
Over 2.5
39%
Both to score
44%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–015.0%
- 1–112.6%
- 0–011.7%
- 2–09.7%
- 2–18.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
56%Possession45%
34%Territory43%
42%From set plays35%
0.09Chance quality0.07
6.2%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Leeds, 2 for Everton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Everton
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.