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Premier League · Matchweek 19

Brentford

BRE

Crystal Palace

CRY

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Brentford53%
Draw24%
Crystal Palace24%

Expected goals

1.88 – 1.23

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1110.4%
  • 219.7%
  • 108.9%
  • 207.8%
  • 126.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Brentford will have the ball; Crystal Palace will not mind.

48%Possession37%
39%Territory30%
33%From set plays11%
0.08Chance quality0.11
4.9%Directness5.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Brentford, 3 for Crystal Palace. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.