Premier League · Matchweek 19
Brentford
BRE
Crystal Palace
CRY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Brentford58%
Draw23%
Crystal Palace19%
Expected goals
1.90 – 1.04
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–010.7%
- 1–110.5%
- 2–110.0%
- 2–09.4%
- 3–16.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Crystal Palace get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
47%Possession39%
35%Territory27%
27%From set plays61%
0.09Chance quality0.11
6.4%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Brentford, 3 for Crystal Palace. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Crystal Palace
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 89 matches, not the full season.