Premier League · Matchweek 19
Arsenal
ARS
Ipswich Town
IPS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Arsenal74%
Draw17%
Ipswich9%
Expected goals
2.26 – 0.69
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
-1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–013.5%
- 1–012.4%
- 3–09.8%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Arsenal will have the ball; Ipswich will not mind.
59%Possession47%
48%Territory35%
36%From set plays21%
0.11Chance quality0.12
3.8%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Arsenal, 3 for Ipswich. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Arsenal
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.