Premier League · Matchweek 19
Arsenal
ARS
Ipswich Town
IPS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Arsenal74%
Draw17%
Ipswich9%
Expected goals
2.32 – 0.70
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–013.2%
- 1–011.8%
- 3–09.9%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–17.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Arsenal will have the ball; Ipswich will not mind.
57%Possession46%
49%Territory38%
22%From set plays8%
0.15Chance quality0.14
3.7%Directness4.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Arsenal, 3 for Ipswich. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Arsenal
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.