Premier League · Matchweek 18
Newcastle United
NEW
Nottingham Forest
NFO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Newcastle40%
Draw28%
Nottm Forest32%
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.20
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–010.8%
- 0–19.3%
- 0–08.8%
- 2–18.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Newcastle will have the ball; Nottm Forest will not mind.
55%Possession45%
46%Territory34%
16%From set plays30%
0.09Chance quality0.09
4.9%Directness7.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Newcastle, 3 for Nottm Forest. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.