Premier League · Matchweek 18
Manchester United
MUN
Sunderland
SUN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Man United55%
Draw24%
Sunderland21%
Expected goals
1.84 – 1.09
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 1–010.4%
- 2–19.9%
- 2–08.9%
- 0–06.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Man United will have the ball; Sunderland will not mind.
57%Possession45%
48%Territory40%
11%From set plays37%
0.09Chance quality0.15
3.1%Directness8.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Man United, 3 for Sunderland. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sunderland
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.