Premier League · Matchweek 18
Hull City
HUL
Leeds United
LEE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hull32%
Draw27%
Leeds41%
Expected goals
1.27 – 1.47
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 0–19.9%
- 1–28.8%
- 1–08.4%
- 0–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Leeds will have the ball; Hull will not mind.
30%Possession43%
33%Territory31%
10%From set plays30%
0.09Chance quality0.17
8.4%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hull, 3 for Leeds. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.