Premier League · Matchweek 18
Hull City
HUL
Leeds United
LEE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hull30%
Draw31%
Leeds39%
Expected goals
1.05 – 1.22
Over 2.5
39%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.3%
- 0–112.8%
- 0–011.7%
- 1–010.9%
- 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Leeds will have the ball; Hull will not mind.
35%Possession56%
29%Territory34%
38%From set plays42%
0.08Chance quality0.09
7.3%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hull, 3 for Leeds. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.