Premier League · Matchweek 18
Everton
EVE
Manchester City
MCI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Everton18%
Draw23%
Man City59%
Expected goals
0.98 – 1.88
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 0–111.3%
- 1–110.5%
- 0–210.0%
- 1–210.0%
- 0–06.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
45%Possession65%
43%Territory49%
35%From set plays20%
0.07Chance quality0.12
5.9%Directness3.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Everton, 3 for Man City. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Everton
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.