Premier League · Matchweek 18
Everton
EVE
Manchester City
MCI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Everton25%
Draw27%
Man City49%
Expected goals
1.08 – 1.58
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 0–111.6%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–28.4%
- 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Man City will have the ball; Everton will not mind.
41%Possession65%
40%Territory44%
27%From set plays24%
0.10Chance quality0.15
3.8%Directness3.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Everton, 3 for Man City. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.