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Premier League · Matchweek 18

Crystal Palace

CRY

AFC Bournemouth

AFC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Crystal Palace19%
Draw22%
Bournemouth59%

Expected goals

1.13 – 2.04

Over 2.5

60%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–29.9%
  • 1–19.8%
  • 0–19.2%
  • 0–28.7%
  • 1–36.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Bournemouth will have the ball; Crystal Palace will not mind.

39%Possession49%
27%Territory39%
61%From set plays10%
0.11Chance quality0.16
4.8%Directness5.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Crystal Palace, 3 for Bournemouth. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Crystal Palace

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.