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Premier League · Matchweek 18

Coventry City

COV

Brentford

BRE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Coventry26%
Draw25%
Brentford49%

Expected goals

1.20 – 1.69

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.4%
  • 019.9%
  • 129.5%
  • 027.7%
  • 106.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Brentford will have the ball; Coventry will not mind.

40%Possession48%
37%Territory39%
34%From set plays33%
0.11Chance quality0.08
7.2%Directness4.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Coventry, 3 for Brentford. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.