Premier League · Matchweek 18
Coventry City
COV
Brentford
BRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Coventry27%
Draw27%
Brentford45%
Expected goals
1.12 – 1.49
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 0–111.4%
- 1–29.2%
- 0–08.4%
- 1–08.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Brentford will have the ball; Coventry will not mind.
37%Possession47%
39%Territory35%
29%From set plays27%
0.08Chance quality0.09
8.9%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Coventry, 3 for Brentford. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.