Premier League · Matchweek 17
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
AFC Bournemouth
AFC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Tottenham34%
Draw28%
Bournemouth38%
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.34
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 0–110.4%
- 1–09.6%
- 0–08.7%
- 1–28.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Tottenham will have the ball; Bournemouth will not mind.
71%Possession49%
52%Territory39%
29%From set plays10%
0.07Chance quality0.16
2.6%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Tottenham, 3 for Bournemouth. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.