Premier League · Matchweek 17
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
AFC Bournemouth
AFC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Tottenham31%
Draw29%
Bournemouth41%
Expected goals
1.16 – 1.36
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 0–111.3%
- 1–09.5%
- 0–09.3%
- 1–28.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
60%Possession53%
48%Territory41%
40%From set plays30%
0.07Chance quality0.10
3.9%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Tottenham, 3 for Bournemouth. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Tottenham
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.