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Premier League · Matchweek 17

Tottenham Hotspur

TOT

AFC Bournemouth

AFC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Tottenham34%
Draw28%
Bournemouth38%

Expected goals

1.25 – 1.34

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.7%
  • 0–110.4%
  • 1–09.6%
  • 0–08.7%
  • 1–28.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Tottenham will have the ball; Bournemouth will not mind.

71%Possession49%
52%Territory39%
29%From set plays10%
0.07Chance quality0.16
2.6%Directness5.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Tottenham, 3 for Bournemouth. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.