Premier League · Matchweek 17
Manchester United
MUN
Nottingham Forest
NFO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Man United51%
Draw24%
Nottm Forest24%
Expected goals
1.82 – 1.22
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–09.3%
- 2–07.7%
- 1–26.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Man United will have the ball; Nottm Forest will not mind.
57%Possession39%
48%Territory36%
11%From set plays19%
0.09Chance quality0.12
3.1%Directness7.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Man United, 3 for Nottm Forest. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.