Premier League · Matchweek 17
Ipswich Town
IPS
Brentford
BRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Ipswich29%
Draw25%
Brentford46%
Expected goals
1.33 – 1.71
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–18.7%
- 2–17.0%
- 0–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
47%Possession47%
35%Territory35%
21%From set plays27%
0.12Chance quality0.09
4.8%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Ipswich, 3 for Brentford. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.