Premier League · Matchweek 17
Hull City
HUL
Liverpool
LIV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hull29%
Draw27%
Liverpool44%
Expected goals
1.16 – 1.48
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 0–111.0%
- 1–29.0%
- 1–08.4%
- 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Liverpool will have the ball; Hull will not mind.
30%Possession60%
33%Territory50%
10%From set plays16%
0.09Chance quality0.10
8.4%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hull, 3 for Liverpool. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.