Premier League · Matchweek 17
Hull City
HUL
Liverpool
LIV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hull26%
Draw28%
Liverpool46%
Expected goals
1.04 – 1.45
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 0–112.4%
- 0–09.3%
- 1–29.1%
- 1–08.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Liverpool will have the ball; Hull will not mind.
35%Possession51%
29%Territory48%
38%From set plays16%
0.08Chance quality0.08
7.3%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hull, 3 for Liverpool. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.