Premier League · Matchweek 17
Everton
EVE
Sunderland
SUN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Everton42%
Draw30%
Sunderland28%
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.00
Over 2.5
40%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.3%
- 1–113.1%
- 0–011.4%
- 0–110.1%
- 2–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
45%Possession47%
43%Territory34%
35%From set plays51%
0.07Chance quality0.06
5.9%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Everton, 3 for Sunderland. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Everton
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Sunderland
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.