Premier League · Matchweek 17
Crystal Palace
CRY
Arsenal
ARS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Crystal Palace16%
Draw23%
Arsenal61%
Expected goals
0.87 – 1.84
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 0–112.8%
- 0–211.1%
- 1–110.6%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Arsenal will have the ball; Crystal Palace will not mind.
37%Possession57%
30%Territory49%
11%From set plays22%
0.11Chance quality0.15
5.4%Directness3.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Crystal Palace, 3 for Arsenal. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Crystal Palace
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.