Premier League · Matchweek 17
Crystal Palace
CRY
Arsenal
ARS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Crystal Palace15%
Draw24%
Arsenal62%
Expected goals
0.76 – 1.77
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 0–114.6%
- 0–212.3%
- 1–110.6%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–08.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Arsenal will have the ball; Crystal Palace will not mind.
39%Possession59%
27%Territory48%
61%From set plays36%
0.11Chance quality0.11
4.8%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Crystal Palace, 3 for Arsenal. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Crystal Palace
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Arsenal
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.