Premier League · Matchweek 17
Coventry City
COV
Chelsea
CHE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Coventry21%
Draw25%
Chelsea53%
Expected goals
1.02 – 1.70
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 0–111.8%
- 1–111.5%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–29.3%
- 0–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Chelsea will have the ball; Coventry will not mind.
38%Possession47%
38%Territory35%
29%From set plays16%
0.05Chance quality0.10
8.6%Directness3.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Coventry, 3 for Chelsea. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 89 matches, not the full season.