Premier League · Matchweek 16
Sunderland
SUN
Crystal Palace
CRY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sunderland45%
Draw27%
Crystal Palace28%
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.21
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–010.3%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–17.8%
- 0–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Sunderland will have the ball; Crystal Palace will not mind.
45%Possession37%
40%Territory30%
37%From set plays11%
0.15Chance quality0.11
8.1%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sunderland, 3 for Crystal Palace. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sunderland
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.