Premier League · Matchweek 16
Sunderland
SUN
Crystal Palace
CRY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sunderland41%
Draw28%
Crystal Palace31%
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.21
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–010.7%
- 0–19.1%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–08.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Sunderland will have the ball; Crystal Palace will not mind.
47%Possession39%
34%Territory27%
51%From set plays61%
0.06Chance quality0.11
5.1%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sunderland, 3 for Crystal Palace. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sunderland
Crystal Palace
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.