Premier League · Matchweek 16
Nottingham Forest
NFO
Everton
EVE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Nottm Forest50%
Draw29%
Everton21%
Expected goals
1.42 – 0.84
Over 2.5
39%
Both to score
44%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–015.2%
- 1–112.4%
- 0–011.5%
- 2–010.0%
- 2–19.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
45%Possession45%
34%Territory43%
30%From set plays35%
0.09Chance quality0.07
7.8%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Nottm Forest, 2 for Everton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Everton
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 89 matches, not the full season.