Premier League · Matchweek 16
Manchester City
MCI
Hull City
HUL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Man City68%
Draw20%
Hull12%
Expected goals
2.14 – 0.81
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–012.0%
- 1–011.8%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–19.0%
- 3–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Man City will have the ball; Hull will not mind.
65%Possession30%
44%Territory33%
24%From set plays10%
0.15Chance quality0.09
3.9%Directness8.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Man City, 3 for Hull. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.