Premier League · Matchweek 16
Manchester City
MCI
Hull City
HUL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Man City71%
Draw18%
Hull11%
Expected goals
2.33 – 0.85
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–011.5%
- 1–010.3%
- 2–19.6%
- 3–08.5%
- 1–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Man City will have the ball; Hull will not mind.
65%Possession35%
49%Territory29%
20%From set plays38%
0.12Chance quality0.08
3.5%Directness7.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Man City, 3 for Hull. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.