Premier League · Matchweek 16
Liverpool
LIV
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Liverpool53%
Draw27%
Tottenham20%
Expected goals
1.56 – 0.89
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.9%
- 1–112.0%
- 2–010.1%
- 0–09.6%
- 2–19.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Tottenham get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
60%Possession60%
50%Territory48%
16%From set plays40%
0.10Chance quality0.07
5.4%Directness3.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Liverpool, 3 for Tottenham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Tottenham
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.