Premier League · Matchweek 16
Liverpool
LIV
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Liverpool41%
Draw30%
Tottenham29%
Expected goals
1.28 – 1.05
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.2%
- 1–012.8%
- 0–011.1%
- 0–110.2%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Tottenham will have the ball; Liverpool will not mind.
51%Possession71%
48%Territory52%
16%From set plays29%
0.08Chance quality0.07
4.4%Directness2.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Liverpool, 3 for Tottenham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.