Premier League · Matchweek 16
Brentford
BRE
Newcastle United
NEW
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Brentford46%
Draw26%
Newcastle28%
Expected goals
1.64 – 1.27
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–09.4%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–17.1%
- 2–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Newcastle will have the ball; Brentford will not mind.
47%Possession55%
35%Territory46%
27%From set plays16%
0.09Chance quality0.09
6.4%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Brentford, 3 for Newcastle. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.