Premier League · Matchweek 16
AFC Bournemouth
AFC
Coventry City
COV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bournemouth64%
Draw21%
Coventry16%
Expected goals
2.15 – 1.02
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.8%
- 1–09.6%
- 1–19.2%
- 3–17.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Bournemouth will have the ball; Coventry will not mind.
53%Possession40%
41%Territory37%
30%From set plays34%
0.10Chance quality0.11
5.2%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bournemouth, 3 for Coventry. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Coventry
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.