Premier League · Matchweek 16
AFC Bournemouth
AFC
Coventry City
COV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bournemouth70%
Draw18%
Coventry12%
Expected goals
2.27 – 0.85
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–011.4%
- 1–010.5%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–18.4%
- 3–08.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Bournemouth will have the ball; Coventry will not mind.
49%Possession37%
39%Territory39%
10%From set plays29%
0.16Chance quality0.08
5.4%Directness8.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bournemouth, 4 for Coventry. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.