Premier League · Matchweek 15
Ipswich Town
IPS
Newcastle United
NEW
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Ipswich32%
Draw25%
Newcastle44%
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.72
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.7%
- 1–28.9%
- 0–17.7%
- 2–17.4%
- 2–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Newcastle will have the ball; Ipswich will not mind.
47%Possession55%
35%Territory46%
21%From set plays16%
0.12Chance quality0.09
4.8%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Ipswich, 3 for Newcastle. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.