Premier League · Matchweek 15
Ipswich Town
IPS
Newcastle United
NEW
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Ipswich35%
Draw26%
Newcastle39%
Expected goals
1.47 – 1.57
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 1–28.6%
- 0–18.0%
- 2–18.0%
- 1–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Newcastle get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
46%Possession50%
38%Territory34%
8%From set plays38%
0.14Chance quality0.09
4.1%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Ipswich, 3 for Newcastle. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.