Skip to content

Premier League · Matchweek 15

Hull City

HUL

Tottenham Hotspur

TOT

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Hull26%
Draw30%
Tottenham44%

Expected goals

0.95 – 1.30

Over 2.5

39%

Both to score

46%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–114.0%
  • 1–113.1%
  • 0–011.9%
  • 1–09.9%
  • 1–28.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Tottenham will have the ball; Hull will not mind.

35%Possession71%
29%Territory52%
38%From set plays29%
0.08Chance quality0.07
7.3%Directness2.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hull, 3 for Tottenham. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.