Premier League · Matchweek 15
Hull City
HUL
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hull26%
Draw30%
Tottenham44%
Expected goals
0.95 – 1.30
Over 2.5
39%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–114.0%
- 1–113.1%
- 0–011.9%
- 1–09.9%
- 1–28.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Tottenham will have the ball; Hull will not mind.
35%Possession71%
29%Territory52%
38%From set plays29%
0.08Chance quality0.07
7.3%Directness2.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hull, 3 for Tottenham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.