Skip to content

Premier League · Matchweek 15

Hull City

HUL

Tottenham Hotspur

TOT

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Hull39%
Draw31%
Tottenham30%

Expected goals

1.19 – 1.03

Over 2.5

38%

Both to score

46%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1113.4%
  • 1013.1%
  • 0012.2%
  • 0111.1%
  • 218.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Tottenham will have the ball; Hull will not mind.

30%Possession60%
33%Territory48%
10%From set plays40%
0.09Chance quality0.07
8.4%Directness3.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hull, 3 for Tottenham. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.