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Premier League · Matchweek 15

Crystal Palace

CRY

Manchester United

MUN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Crystal Palace34%
Draw25%
Man United41%

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.62

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

63%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.1%
  • 1–28.7%
  • 2–17.8%
  • 0–17.8%
  • 1–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Man United will have the ball; Crystal Palace will not mind.

39%Possession48%
27%Territory39%
61%From set plays18%
0.11Chance quality0.08
4.8%Directness4.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Crystal Palace, 3 for Man United. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Crystal Palace

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.