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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

Premier League · Matchweek 15

Crystal Palace

CRY

Manchester United

MUN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Crystal Palace29%
Draw24%
Man United47%

Expected goals

1.44 – 1.85

Over 2.5

63%

Both to score

65%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.2%
  • 1–29.2%
  • 0–17.4%
  • 2–16.9%
  • 2–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Man United will have the ball; Crystal Palace will not mind.

37%Possession57%
30%Territory48%
11%From set plays11%
0.11Chance quality0.09
5.4%Directness3.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Crystal Palace, 3 for Man United. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.