Premier League · Matchweek 15
Coventry City
COV
Aston Villa
AVL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Coventry31%
Draw28%
Aston Villa41%
Expected goals
1.21 – 1.40
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 0–110.7%
- 1–09.1%
- 1–28.7%
- 0–08.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Aston Villa will have the ball; Coventry will not mind.
40%Possession56%
37%Territory47%
34%From set plays7%
0.11Chance quality0.10
7.2%Directness3.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Coventry, 3 for Aston Villa. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Coventry
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Aston Villa
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.