Premier League · Matchweek 14
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
Arsenal
ARS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Tottenham16%
Draw28%
Arsenal57%
Expected goals
0.68 – 1.48
Over 2.5
37%
Both to score
39%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 0–117.5%
- 0–012.5%
- 0–212.2%
- 1–111.5%
- 1–28.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Tottenham get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
60%Possession57%
48%Territory49%
40%From set plays22%
0.07Chance quality0.15
3.9%Directness3.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Tottenham, 3 for Arsenal. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Tottenham
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.