Premier League · Matchweek 14
Manchester United
MUN
Coventry City
COV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Man United53%
Draw25%
Coventry22%
Expected goals
1.74 – 1.07
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 1–011.1%
- 2–19.8%
- 2–08.9%
- 0–06.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Man United will have the ball; Coventry will not mind.
48%Possession38%
39%Territory38%
18%From set plays29%
0.08Chance quality0.05
4.3%Directness8.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Man United, 3 for Coventry. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.