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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

Premier League · Matchweek 14

Manchester United

MUN

Coventry City

COV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Man United54%
Draw24%
Coventry22%

Expected goals

1.81 – 1.12

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.9%
  • 1–010.2%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 2–08.6%
  • 0–06.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Man United will have the ball; Coventry will not mind.

48%Possession37%
39%Territory39%
18%From set plays29%
0.08Chance quality0.08
4.3%Directness8.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Man United, 4 for Coventry. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.