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Premier League · Matchweek 14

Manchester United

MUN

Coventry City

COV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Man United68%
Draw18%
Coventry13%

Expected goals

2.37 – 0.99

Over 2.5

64%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-1.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 209.9%
  • 219.7%
  • 108.8%
  • 118.2%
  • 317.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Man United will have the ball; Coventry will not mind.

57%Possession40%
48%Territory37%
11%From set plays34%
0.09Chance quality0.11
3.1%Directness7.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Man United, 3 for Coventry. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Coventry

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.