Premier League · Matchweek 14
Leeds United
LEE
Ipswich Town
IPS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Leeds57%
Draw22%
Ipswich21%
Expected goals
2.04 – 1.20
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.8%
- 1–19.7%
- 1–08.5%
- 2–08.1%
- 3–16.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Leeds get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
43%Possession46%
31%Territory38%
30%From set plays8%
0.17Chance quality0.14
5.9%Directness4.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Leeds, 3 for Ipswich. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.