Premier League · Matchweek 14
Leeds United
LEE
Ipswich Town
IPS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Leeds54%
Draw25%
Ipswich21%
Expected goals
1.74 – 1.03
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.4%
- 1–111.3%
- 2–19.8%
- 2–09.3%
- 0–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Leeds will have the ball; Ipswich will not mind.
56%Possession47%
34%Territory35%
42%From set plays21%
0.09Chance quality0.12
6.2%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Leeds, 3 for Ipswich. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.