Premier League · Matchweek 14
Chelsea
CHE
Liverpool
LIV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Chelsea41%
Draw25%
Liverpool33%
Expected goals
1.65 – 1.47
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.0%
- 2–18.8%
- 1–07.7%
- 1–27.7%
- 0–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Liverpool will have the ball; Chelsea will not mind.
47%Possession60%
46%Territory50%
24%From set plays16%
0.09Chance quality0.10
5.2%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Chelsea, 3 for Liverpool. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.