Premier League · Matchweek 14
Brentford
BRE
Manchester City
MCI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Brentford27%
Draw26%
Man City47%
Expected goals
1.23 – 1.67
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 0–19.7%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–27.4%
- 1–06.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Man City will have the ball; Brentford will not mind.
48%Possession65%
39%Territory44%
33%From set plays24%
0.08Chance quality0.15
4.9%Directness3.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Brentford, 3 for Man City. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.