Premier League · Matchweek 14
Brentford
BRE
Manchester City
MCI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Brentford28%
Draw25%
Man City47%
Expected goals
1.33 – 1.74
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.0%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–18.6%
- 2–16.9%
- 0–26.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Man City will have the ball; Brentford will not mind.
47%Possession65%
35%Territory49%
27%From set plays20%
0.09Chance quality0.12
6.4%Directness3.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Brentford, 3 for Man City. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.