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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

Premier League · Matchweek 14

Aston Villa

AVL

Crystal Palace

CRY

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Aston Villa44%
Draw27%
Crystal Palace29%

Expected goals

1.56 – 1.24

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.9%
  • 1–010.0%
  • 2–19.1%
  • 0–17.7%
  • 1–27.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Aston Villa will have the ball; Crystal Palace will not mind.

56%Possession37%
47%Territory30%
7%From set plays11%
0.10Chance quality0.11
3.5%Directness5.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Aston Villa, 3 for Crystal Palace. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.